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即使今晚非農喜人、美元后市還得跌機構最新前景預測……
2020-01-11 18:15   来源:  www.deepdivescuba.com   评论:0 点击:

即使今晚非農喜人、美元后市還得跌機構最新前景預測……FX168财经报社(香港)讯周五(1月10日)欧市盘中,美元

FX168财经报社(香港)讯周五(1月10日)欧市盘中,美元指数在晚间关键的非农就业报告之前保持坚挺,周线涨幅有望创两个月来最大,其他非美货币波动不大,现货黄金继续承压于1550附近。

FX168(hong kong): in european trading on friday (january 10), the dollar index held firm ahead of a key non-farm payrolls report at night, with weekly gains expected to hit its biggest in two months, other non-american currencies less volatile, and spot gold remaining under pressure near 1550.

尽管最近美国和伊朗发动空袭,但风险偏好已基本恢复,美元兑日元本周迄今上涨约%,而金价本周回吐所有涨幅,跌至1550美元的心理价位之下。

Despite recent u.s. and iran airstrikes, risk appetite has largely recovered, with the dollar up about% against the yen this week, while gold has returned all the gains this week to fall below the psychological $1550 mark.

中东局势的恶化再次提醒投资者对地缘政治风险保持警惕。这是否只是美国和伊朗之间可能旷日持久的行动-反应周期的暂时停顿仍有待观察,投资者的资产配置策略可能必须考虑到这种风险。

The deterioration in the situation in the Middle East is yet another reminder of investors'vigilance against geopolitical risks. Whether this is only a potentially protracted action between the US and Iran – a temporary pause in the response cycle – remains to be seen, and investors'asset allocation strategies may have to take this risk into account.

尽管如此,美伊冲突近期升级的风险降低,意味着市场参与者可以将注意力重新集中在将于下周签署的中美“第一阶段”贸易协定上。

Nevertheless, the risk of a recent escalation in the US-Iranian conflict means that market participants can refocus their attention on the first phase of a Sino-US trade agreement to be signed next week.

关键的细节将是预期关税撤回的时间。这些贸易壁垒的降低宜早不宜迟,应该会给全球经济更多的时间来复苏,并为投资者提供增加风险资产敞口的理由,包括新兴市场的风险资产。

the key details will be the time of expected tariff withdrawal. These trade barriers should be lowered sooner or later, giving the global economy more time to recover and providing investors with reasons to increase exposure to risky assets, including those in emerging markets.

目前,市场对16万份非农的预期将突显就业市场的弹性,因为美国消费者正被依赖来维持这个全球最大经济体的增长势头。

For now, the market's forecast for 160,000 nonfarmers will highlight the resilience of the job market, as US consumers are being relied on to sustain growth in the world's largest economy.

整体非农人数、薪资增长,或小时薪资等意外利好,可能令美元指数收在其200日均线切入位上方,并止住下滑趋势。

Unexpected gains in overall nonfarm payroll, salary growth, or hourly pay could put the dollar index above its 200-day moving average and halt the decline.

然而,考虑到自去年10月以来,美元指数一直录得下移的低点,只要冒险情绪不受影响、且美联储对维持利率不变,美元就有可能进一步走软。

However, given the lows that have been recorded in the dollar's index since last October, the dollar is likely to weaken further as long as risk-taking sentiment remains unaffected and the Fed's interest rate remains unchanged.

非农袭来,北京时间周五10:00至11:30,以及20:00至22:00,FX168财经学院分析师会对非农报告进行前瞻分析和独家解读,详情请点击【非农直播】

Analysts at the FX168 Institute of Finance and Economics will provide a forward-looking analysis and exclusive reading of the nonfarm report, from 10:00 to 11:30 Beijing time Friday and from 20:00 to 22:00


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